diff --git a/fe/fe-core/src/main/java/org/apache/doris/statistics/Statistics.java b/fe/fe-core/src/main/java/org/apache/doris/statistics/Statistics.java
index dd8d470e24..ff889d3edc 100644
--- a/fe/fe-core/src/main/java/org/apache/doris/statistics/Statistics.java
+++ b/fe/fe-core/src/main/java/org/apache/doris/statistics/Statistics.java
@@ -111,8 +111,8 @@ public class Statistics {
             ColumnStatistic columnStatistic = entry.getValue();
             ColumnStatisticBuilder columnStatisticBuilder = new ColumnStatisticBuilder(columnStatistic);
             columnStatisticBuilder.setNdv(Math.min(columnStatistic.ndv, rowCount));
-            double nullFactor = (rowCount - columnStatistic.numNulls) / rowCount;
-            columnStatisticBuilder.setNumNulls(nullFactor * rowCount);
+            double numNulls = Math.min(columnStatistic.numNulls, rowCount - columnStatistic.ndv);
+            columnStatisticBuilder.setNumNulls(numNulls);
             columnStatisticBuilder.setCount(rowCount);
             statistics.addColumnStats(entry.getKey(), columnStatisticBuilder.build());
         }
diff --git a/regression-test/data/nereids_tpcds_shape_sf100_p0/shape/query21.out b/regression-test/data/nereids_tpcds_shape_sf100_p0/shape/query21.out
index 8361e28dac..32df595226 100644
--- a/regression-test/data/nereids_tpcds_shape_sf100_p0/shape/query21.out
+++ b/regression-test/data/nereids_tpcds_shape_sf100_p0/shape/query21.out
@@ -21,4 +21,5 @@ PhysicalTopN
 ------------------------PhysicalOlapScan[date_dim]
 ----------------PhysicalDistribute
 ------------------PhysicalProject
---------------------PhysicalOlapScan[warehouse]
\ No newline at end of file
+--------------------PhysicalOlapScan[warehouse]
+
diff --git a/regression-test/data/nereids_tpcds_shape_sf100_p0/shape/query95.out b/regression-test/data/nereids_tpcds_shape_sf100_p0/shape/query95.out
index ccb9b6ff50..d6ec3488d9 100644
--- a/regression-test/data/nereids_tpcds_shape_sf100_p0/shape/query95.out
+++ b/regression-test/data/nereids_tpcds_shape_sf100_p0/shape/query95.out
@@ -14,38 +14,38 @@ CteAnchor[cteId= ( CTEId#3=] )
 ----PhysicalTopN
 ------PhysicalProject
 --------hashAgg[GLOBAL]
-----------hashAgg[LOCAL]
-------------PhysicalDistribute
+----------PhysicalDistribute
+------------hashAgg[LOCAL]
 --------------PhysicalProject
 ----------------hashJoin[INNER_JOIN](ws1.ws_ship_date_sk = date_dim.d_date_sk)
-------------------PhysicalProject
---------------------filter((date_dim.d_date >= 1999-02-01)(cast(d_date as DATETIMEV2(0)) <= cast(days_add(cast('1999-2-01' as DATEV2), INTERVAL 60 DAY) as DATETIMEV2(0))))
-----------------------PhysicalOlapScan[date_dim]
-------------------PhysicalDistribute
---------------------hashJoin[RIGHT_SEMI_JOIN](ws1.ws_order_number = web_returns.wr_order_number)
-----------------------PhysicalDistribute
-------------------------PhysicalProject
---------------------------hashJoin[INNER_JOIN](web_returns.wr_order_number = ws_wh.ws_order_number)
-----------------------------PhysicalProject
-------------------------------CteConsumer[cteId= ( CTEId#3=] )
-----------------------------PhysicalDistribute
-------------------------------PhysicalProject
---------------------------------PhysicalOlapScan[web_returns]
-----------------------hashJoin[RIGHT_SEMI_JOIN](ws1.ws_order_number = ws_wh.ws_order_number)
-------------------------PhysicalDistribute
+------------------hashJoin[RIGHT_SEMI_JOIN](ws1.ws_order_number = web_returns.wr_order_number)
+--------------------PhysicalDistribute
+----------------------PhysicalProject
+------------------------hashJoin[INNER_JOIN](web_returns.wr_order_number = ws_wh.ws_order_number)
 --------------------------PhysicalProject
 ----------------------------CteConsumer[cteId= ( CTEId#3=] )
-------------------------PhysicalDistribute
---------------------------hashJoin[INNER_JOIN](ws1.ws_web_site_sk = web_site.web_site_sk)
-----------------------------hashJoin[INNER_JOIN](ws1.ws_ship_addr_sk = customer_address.ca_address_sk)
-------------------------------PhysicalProject
---------------------------------PhysicalOlapScan[web_sales]
-------------------------------PhysicalDistribute
---------------------------------PhysicalProject
-----------------------------------filter((cast(ca_state as VARCHAR(*)) = 'NC'))
-------------------------------------PhysicalOlapScan[customer_address]
+--------------------------PhysicalDistribute
+----------------------------PhysicalProject
+------------------------------PhysicalOlapScan[web_returns]
+--------------------hashJoin[RIGHT_SEMI_JOIN](ws1.ws_order_number = ws_wh.ws_order_number)
+----------------------PhysicalDistribute
+------------------------PhysicalProject
+--------------------------CteConsumer[cteId= ( CTEId#3=] )
+----------------------PhysicalDistribute
+------------------------hashJoin[INNER_JOIN](ws1.ws_web_site_sk = web_site.web_site_sk)
+--------------------------hashJoin[INNER_JOIN](ws1.ws_ship_addr_sk = customer_address.ca_address_sk)
+----------------------------PhysicalProject
+------------------------------PhysicalOlapScan[web_sales]
 ----------------------------PhysicalDistribute
 ------------------------------PhysicalProject
---------------------------------filter((cast(web_company_name as VARCHAR(*)) = 'pri'))
-----------------------------------PhysicalOlapScan[web_site]
+--------------------------------filter((cast(ca_state as VARCHAR(*)) = 'NC'))
+----------------------------------PhysicalOlapScan[customer_address]
+--------------------------PhysicalDistribute
+----------------------------PhysicalProject
+------------------------------filter((cast(web_company_name as VARCHAR(*)) = 'pri'))
+--------------------------------PhysicalOlapScan[web_site]
+------------------PhysicalDistribute
+--------------------PhysicalProject
+----------------------filter((date_dim.d_date >= 1999-02-01)(cast(d_date as DATETIMEV2(0)) <= cast(days_add(cast('1999-2-01' as DATEV2), INTERVAL 60 DAY) as DATETIMEV2(0))))
+------------------------PhysicalOlapScan[date_dim]